Talarico holds lead over Paxton in latest Texas Senate race poll with Election Day just hours away

The latest poll on the Texas Senate race found that Democrat James Talarico holds a lead over Republican Ken Paxton with Election Day just hours away.

The poll was conducted by New York Times/Sienna between Oct. 27 and Nov. 1. It has a margin of error of =/- 3.4%. Republicans made up 38% of respondents, while Democrats made up 30% and Independents made up 26%.

The majority of respondents (62%) said they had already voted.

Democrat James Talarico (left) and Republican Ken Paxton (right) are vying for U.S. Senate in Texas in 2026.

Democrat James Talarico (left) and Republican Ken Paxton (right) are vying for U.S. Senate in Texas in 2026. (FOX 4)

Talarico’s lead grows in latest poll

The poll found that 50% of respondents were backing Talarico, while 43% were choosing Paxton. 

That means Talarico has a 7-point lead, well outside the error margin for this poll.

When can I vote in Texas?

Early voting has already ended. So, the last chance to vote in the 2026 Midterm Election is Tuesday. Polls in Texas open at 7 a.m. and close at 7 p.m.

Related

Texas voting guide: Election day is Nov. 3

Election day is Tuesday and Texans will have one more opportunity to cast their ballot.

The Source: Information in this story came from the poll conducted by New York Times/Sienna and previous FOX Local reporting.

ElectionTexas PoliticsPoliticsU.S. Senate2026 ElectionsKen PaxtonNews